BUSINESS INFORM №12-2012

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Section: Regional Economy
UDC 658.012.32
Omarov Shakhin A.
System Dynamics Model of Sustainable Development in the Region (p. 353 - 360)
The paper presents the results of a study aimed at developing a system dynamics model of sustainable development in the region. It is proved that the management of sustainable development in the region should be based on a reasonable forecast of the future. However, under current conditions, with a high level of instability, there are many possible futures. Therefore it was concluded that the modeling of regional development is appropriate to use a scenario approach, engendering possible scenarios. The paper proposed the development of a simulation (system dynamic) model of the Kharkiv region, which includes the following basic block: "Social services", "Budget", "Economy", "Investment", "Foreign Trade", "Innovation" and "Ecology". The article describes the structure of the blocks and provides flow diagrams and cause-effect relationships in them.
Keywords: model, management, risk management, scenario simulation, system dynamics model
Fig.: 10. Formulae: 4. Bibl.: 6.

Omarov Shakhin A. – Candidate of Sciences (Economics), Associate Professor, Applicant, Research Centre for Industrial Problems of Development of NAS of Ukraine (2 floor 1-a Inzhenernyi Ln., Kharkiv, 61166, Ukraine)

Article is written in Russian
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Reference to this article:
Omarov, Shakhin A. (2012) “System Dynamics Model of Sustainable Development in the Region.” Business Inform 12:353–360.

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