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Global Economic Risks and the Problem of Economic Security of the State
Semenova K. D., Tarasova K. I.

Semenova, Kateryna D., and Tarasova, Krystyna I. (2019) “Global Economic Risks and the Problem of Economic Security of the State.” Business Inform 10:38–43.
https://doi.org/10.32983/2222-4459-2019-10-38-43

Section: Globalization Processes in the Economy

UDC 338.1

Abstract:
The article is aimed at analyzing the problem of global risks of modern era. Using the data obtained by experts from the World Economic Forum for 2017-2019, the authors found the five most dangerous global risks in terms of both the likelihood of an occurrence and the scale of the impact. The research identifies tendencies in changing global risks over recent years. It is specified that the main risks are found in the sphere of environment, ecology and technological security (cyber-risks). The emphasis is placed on researching global economic risks. The main factors of global economic risk are: the trade war between the United States and China; the large burden of the U.S. corporate debt; the crisis status of the markets in developing countries; China’s weak macroeconomic policy; cyberwarfare, as well as Italy’s political and financial instability. Prospects for further research in this direction is an analysis of geopolitical and technological risks, which increase economic risks, as well as prediction of the probability of a particular economic risk in both short- and medium-term.

Keywords: risk, global risk, World Economic Forum, economic risk, economic security, risk factor.

Fig.: 2. Tabl.: 3. Bibl.: 10.

Semenova Kateryna D. – Candidate of Sciences (Economics), Associate Professor, Associate Professor, Department of Economic Analysis, Odesa National Economic University (8 Preobrazhenska Str., Odesa, 65082, Ukraine)
Email: [email protected]
Tarasova Krystyna I. – Candidate of Sciences (Economics), Associate Professor, Associate Professor, Department of Statistics, Odesa National Economic University (8 Preobrazhenska Str., Odesa, 65082, Ukraine)

List of references in article

Mazurok, P. P. et al. Hlobalna ekonomika [Global economy]. Lviv: Mahnoliia 2006, 2011.
Kulishov, V. V. “Suchasni problemy hlobalnoi ekonomiky“ [Modern problems of the global economy]. Innovatsiina ekonomika, no. 3 (2013): 8-11.
Globalnyye riski XXI veka: predely regulirovaniya [Global risks of the XXI century: the limits of regulation]. Moscow: In-t Yevropy RAN, 2013.
Schwab, K. “The Global Competitiveness Report 2016-2017“. World Economic Forum. http://www3.weforum.org/docs/GCR2016-2017/05FullReport/TheGlobalCompetitivenessReport2016-2017_FINAL.pdf
Volobuieva, Yu. Yu. “Ryzyky u suchasnykh politychnykh protsesakh“ [Risks in current political processes]. Filosofiia i politolohiia v konteksti suchasnoi kultury, no. 6 (4) (2013): 74-78.
“The Global Risks Report 2019“. World Economic Forum. http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Global_Risks_Report_2019.pdf
Global Cyber Risk Perception Survey 2019. https://www.microsoft.com/security/blog/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/Marsh-Microsoft-2019-Global-Cyber-Risk-Perception-Survey.pdf
“Cause of concern? The top 10 risks to global economy“. A report by The Economist Intelligence Unit. http://pages.eiu.com/rs/753-RIQ-438/images/Top_10_risks_to_the_global_economy.pdf?mkt_tok=eyJpIjoiTkdGa1lXVTROMlZsTW1FNCIsInQiOiI3XC9VSnkxdUFIYklHU0ZtWFJQK1JkSk03eXdBSWhLRVl3bGV0dk1IMEZzUHloSmJrakk0cnhISm5VZWYrNDYxYlp3ZW1tK3RFSTNWY1FQOVhJd1RHU3RFMVBzVE9ZeDdQXC81aHBQaE1sbE5iTWZsTGN3eW9yREZFS2VIcnNGNmkzIn0%3D
“The cost of cybercrime“. Ninth annual cost of cybercrime study. Unlocking the value of improved cybersecurity protection. Ponemon Institute, 2019. https://www.accenture.com/_acnmedia/pdf-96/accenture-2019-cost-of-cybercrime-study-final.pdf
“2019 Cyberthreat Defense report“. https://www.imperva.com/resources/reports/CyberEdge-2019-CDR-Report-v1.1.pdf

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