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Innovation Activity in Ukraine: Analysis and Forecasting
Grudtsyna Y. V.

Grudtsyna, Yuliia V. (2019) “Innovation Activity in Ukraine: Analysis and Forecasting.” Business Inform 2:78–84.
https://doi.org/10.32983/2222-4459-2019-2-78-84

Section: Innovative Processes

UDC 330.341

Abstract:
The article is aimed at researching the status and tendencies of developing the innovation activity in Ukraine, defining shortcomings and identifying development prospects. The research sets the task to analyze the indicator of volume of the innovative products sold, simulate it and build predictive functions. It is determined that the dynamics of the number of enterprises, which introduced innovations, and their specific weight in the total number of industrial enterprises tend to decrease. The dynamics of sales volumes of innovative products also tend to decrease. Building trend models of five kinds and defining the coefficient of determination for each of them have revealed that for further calculations on forecasting of the researched indicator it is expedient to choose a trend model in the form of a parabola of the 2nd order and an exponential trend model. Prospects for further research are the search for factors influencing innovation activity and determination of the degree of their influence by conducting correlation-regression analysis, elaboration of measures on development of innovative activities in Ukraine.

Keywords: innovation, innovation activity, function, trend.

Fig.: 11. Tabl.: 1. Bibl.: 8.

Grudtsyna Yuliia V. – Candidate of Sciences (Economics), Associate Professor, Department of Management and International Economic Relations, Educational and Scientific Institute of Management, Economics and Environmental Management of Taurida National V. I. Vernadsky University (33 Ivana Kudri Str., Kyiv, 02000, Ukraine)
Email: [email protected]

List of references in article

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“Derzhavna sluzhba statystyky Ukrainy: statystychna informatsiia“ [State Statistics Service of Ukraine: statistical information]. http://www.ukrstat.gov.ua
[Legal Act of Ukraine] (2002). http://zakon3.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/40-15
Pitilimov, F. V., and Sharyshov, A. S. “Innovatsionnaya deyatelnost predpriyatiya“ [Innovative activity of the enterprise]. Molodoy uchenyy, no. 3 (2017): 392-395.
Santo, B. Innovatsiya kak sredstvo ekonomicheskogo razvitiya [Innovation as a means of economic development]. Moscow: Progres, 1990.
Pysarenko, T. V. et al. Stan innovatsiinoi diialnosti ta diialnosti u sferi transferu tekhnolohii v Ukraini u 2017 rotsi: analitychna dovidka [The state of innovation activities and activities in the field of technology transfer in Ukraine in 2017: analytical reference]. Kyiv: UkrINTEI, 2018.
Shumpeter, Y. Teoriya ekonomicheskogo razvitiya (issledovaniye predprinimatelskoy pribyli, kapitalov, kredita, protsenta i tsikla konyunktury) [The theory of economic development (the study of entrepreneurial profits, capital, credit, interest and business cycle)]. Moscow: Direkt-Media, 2007.

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