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The Theoretical and Applied Aspects of Evaluating the Level of Demographic Security of Regions
Kopylyuk O. I., Tymchyshyn J. V., Muzychka O. М.

Kopylyuk, Oksana I., Tymchyshyn, Julia V., and Muzychka, Oleksandra М. (2020) “The Theoretical and Applied Aspects of Evaluating the Level of Demographic Security of Regions.” Business Inform 6:93–100.
https://doi.org/10.32983/2222-4459-2020-6-93-100

Section: Regional Economy

Article is written in Ukrainian
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UDC 314:311.313

Abstract:
The article is aimed at improving the theoretical and methodical approaches to evaluating the level of demographic security of regions. On the basis of a review of existing scientific developments, the authors’ own approach to formulating the essence of the concept of «demographic security of region» is proposed, which is defined as a state of protection against threats and dangers, with ensuring the formation and maintenance of positive dynamics of both quantitative and qualitative parameters in the reproductive processes of the population of territory, their optimal balance, stability toward depopulation, and sustainable development. The authors have developed a methodical instrumentarium to evaluate the level of demographic security of regions, which is based on the most significant indicators, characterizing the presence, processes of reproduction, population movement, as well as allowing to identify major threats, dangers and fully estimate the status of the demographic situation of territory. On the basis of the points evaluation method and calculation of an integrated indicator, regions have been grouped by the critically low, low, medium, high and highest levels of demographic security. The region-leaders include the city of Kyiv - with the highest and Volyn, Chernivitsi, Rivne, Ivano-Frankivsk, Lviv, Odesa, Zakarpattya regions - with a high level of demographic security. Chernihiv, Cherkasy, Sumy, Kirovohrad, Zaporizhzhya, Poltava regions are defined as outsider regions with the low level of security. The main threats to the demographic security of most regions of Ukraine remain high mortality rates, reduction of natural and migration population growth, exacerbation of depopulation processes. Prospects for further research in this direction are to substantiate the mutual relationship of demographic security with other components of the regional public system based on the use of the instrumentarium of cluster, factor analysis and economic and the economic-mathematical modeling tools.

Keywords: demographic security of region, indicator approach, level, threats, evaluation by points.

Fig.: 1. Tabl.: 2. Bibl.: 11.

Kopylyuk Oksana I. – Doctor of Sciences (Economics), Professor, Head of the Department, Department of Finance, Economic Security, Banking and Insurance Business, Lviv University of Trade and Economics (10 Tuhan-Baranovskoho Str., Lviv, 79005, Ukraine)
Email: [email protected]
Tymchyshyn Julia V. – Candidate of Sciences (Economics), Associate Professor, Candidate on Doctor Degree, Department of Regional Economy Policy, Institute of Regional Research named after M. I. Dolishniy of the NAS of Ukraine (4 Kozelnytska Str., Lvіv, 79026, Ukraine)
Email: [email protected]
Muzychka Oleksandra М. – Candidate of Sciences (Economics), Associate Professor, Associate Professor, Department of Finance, Economic Security, Banking and Insurance Business, Lviv University of Trade and Economics (10 Tuhan-Baranovskoho Str., Lviv, 79005, Ukraine)
Email: [email protected]

List of references in article

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