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An Empirical Analysis of Remittances of Labor Migrants to Ukraine: The Main Trends and Economic Consequences
Savchenko M. V., Ishchuk Y. A., Barchuk K. V.

Savchenko, Maryna V., Ishchuk, Yuliia A., and Barchuk, Kateryna V. (2024) “An Empirical Analysis of Remittances of Labor Migrants to Ukraine: The Main Trends and Economic Consequences.” Business Inform 4:18–25.
https://doi.org/10.32983/2222-4459-2024-4-18-25

Section: International Economic Relations

Article is written in Ukrainian
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UDC 331.556.4:336.743(477)

Abstract:
The article examines the complex impact of both war and migration processes on the demographic and economic situation in Ukraine. Emphasis is placed on the fact that the conflict that has been going on since 2014 and the migration crisis inherent in it have led to a significant decrease in the population due to large-scale migration flows. It is predicted that by 2050 the population of Ukraine may decrease to 35.2 million people, which will create serious challenges for the economy and social sphere. According to the data provided in the article, the number of remittances from abroad to Ukraine is growing, which indicates the intensive development of migration flows and the growth of the economic contribution of immigrants. However, the actual volume of such remittances is likely to be higher than indicated in official data due to the presence of unregistered flows. Remittances reflect not only migrants’ financial contributions to the economy, but also the level of connection and support that migrants provide to their families and communities in Ukraine. Compared to the inflow of foreign direct investment, an understanding of how migration flows affect the country’s economy both through financial contributions and through other socioeconomic aspects is presented. The article calls for the development of effective strategies to overcome the challenges posed by war and migration processes. Important components of such strategies are ensuring economic growth and social well-being of the population, as well as rational management of migration flows to maximize the positive impact of migration on the economy and society of Ukraine.

Keywords: emigration, migration, money transfers, GDP, migrant remittances, foreign direct investment, final consumption.

Fig.: 7. Tabl.: 1. Formulae: 1. Bibl.: 10.

Savchenko Maryna V. – Doctor of Sciences (Economics), Professor, Head of the Department, Department of International Economic Relations, Vasyl’ Stus Donetsk National University (21 600-richchia Str., Vinnytsia, 21021, Ukraine)
Email: [email protected]
Ishchuk Yuliia A. – PhD, Associate Professor, Associate Professor, Department of International Economic Relations, Vasyl’ Stus Donetsk National University (21 600-richchia Str., Vinnytsia, 21021, Ukraine)
Email: [email protected]
Barchuk Kateryna V. – Student, Vasyl’ Stus Donetsk National University (21 600-richchia Str., Vinnytsia, 21021, Ukraine)
Email: [email protected]

List of references in article

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Bezuhlyi, P. H. “Teoretychni zasady doslidzhennia mihratsiinykh protsesiv“ [Theoretical Foundations of the Study of Migration Processes]. Politychne zhyttia, no. 1 (2018): 5-13. DOI: https://doi.org/10.31558/2519-2949.2018.1.1
Bilotserkivets, V. V. et al. Mizhnarodna ekonomika [International Economics]. Kyiv: TsUL, 2012.
Filipchuk, L. et al. “Vymushena mihratsiia i viina v Ukraini (24 liutoho - 24 bereznia 2022)“ [Forced Migration and War in Ukraine (February 24 - March 24, 2022)]. Cedos. March 29, 2022. https://cedos.org.ua/researches/vymushena-migracziya-i-vijna-v-ukrayini-24-lyutogo-24-bereznya-2022/
“Naselennia Ukrainy“ [Population of Ukraine]. Minfin. https://index.minfin.com.ua/ua/reference/people/
Tserkovnyi, I. “Mihratsiini zviazky Ukrainy: problemy ta tendentsii rozvytku“ [Migration Relations of Ukraine: Problems and Trends of Development]. https://dspace.nau.edu.ua/bitstream/NAU/59674/1/Магістерська_Церковний_15.11.pdf
Yakovenko, Yu. “Suchasni tendentsii rozvytku mihratsiinykh protsesiv: hlobalni osoblyvosti ta naslidky dlia Ukrainy“ [Modern Trends in the Development of Migration Processes: Global Features and Consequences for Ukraine]. Visnyk Kharkivskoho natsionalnoho universytetu imeni V. N. Karazina. Seriia «Ekonomichna», no. 98 (2020): 79-88. DOI: https://doi.org/10.26565/2311-2379-2020-98-08
“Stavky, indeksy, taryfy“ [Rates, Indexes, Tariffs]. Minfin. https://index.minfin.com.ua/ua/
Povoroznyk, V. “U Yevropu za rik vyikhalo 8 mln ukraintsiv, ale perekazy pratsivnykiv prosily na $1 mlrd. U chomu prychyna?“ [8 Million Ukrainians Left for Europe During the Year, but Workers' Remittances Were Requested for $1 Billion. What Is the Reason?]. Forbes. March 21, 2023. https://forbes.ua/money/u-2022-mu-ukrainski-migranti-prosili-v-postachannya-valyuti-na-1-mlrd-chomu-skorotilisya-perekazi-rozpovidae-ekonomist-vasil-povoroznik-21032023-12522
Starodubov, O. “Mihratsiina kryza - masshtab, ekonomichni naslidky i shliakhy podolannia“ [Migration Crisis - Scale, Economic Consequences and Ways to Overcome It]. Ukrainska pravda. September 02, 2022. https://www.pravda.com.ua/columns/2022/08/2/7361562/

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