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Structural Shifts in the Diversification of Ukraine’s Regional Exports
Poliakova O. Y., Holtiaieva L. A.

Poliakova, Olha Yu., and Holtiaieva, Liudmyla A. (2025) “Structural Shifts in the Diversification of Ukraine’s Regional Exports.” Business Inform 12:140–150.
https://doi.org/10.32983/2222-4459-2025-12-140-150

Section: Regional Economy

Article is written in Ukrainian
Downloads/views: 1

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UDC 332.1:339.564

Abstract:
Ukraine’s exports suffered severe setbacks with the onset of the full-scale military invasion. The regions where combat took place or is ongoing experienced the largest losses in export potential. Disruptions in logistics have affected the export capacity of all regions. The aim of the study is to evaluate changes in the commodity structure and dynamics of Ukraine’s regional exports caused by military aggression. The study analyzed the dynamics of export volumes and structure by region and by commodity groups for 2021–2024, using structural-dynamic analysis, structure similarity coefficients, and structural shifts. Analysis of regional export dynamics indicates that recovery to pre-war levels has not yet occurred in most regions. Volume increases mostly took place in regions with a small share of the country’s total exports. Exports remain highly concentrated at the regional level, and against the backdrop of declining volumes in most regions, the concentration in the city of Kyiv has intensified. The shares of several regions have been redistributed among the remaining regions, but this does not significantly increase export diversification, as volumes have not yet recovered. Among the regions examined in more detail, Kharkiv region has the most diversified exports. Moreover, the similarity coefficient between the export structures of Kharkiv region and Ukraine is the highest. Therefore, the export structure of Kharkiv region can serve as a guide for developing the country’s export strategy. The further development of advanced export directions through the innovative growth of export-oriented enterprises, enhancing their investment attractiveness, and restoring facilities that perform critically important functions for the economy will contribute to enhancing both the competitiveness of the region and the advancement of Ukraine’s exports, which aligns with the State export policy.

Keywords: diversification, structure, proportion, export, similarity coefficient, structural shift coefficient.

Fig.: 9. Tabl.: 2. Bibl.: 13.

Poliakova Olha Yu. – Candidate of Sciences (Economics), Associate Professor, Head of, Sector of Macroeconomic Analysis and Forecasting of the Department of Macroeconomic Policy and Regional Development, Research Centre for Industrial Problems of Development of NAS of Ukraine (2 floor 1-a Inzhenernyi Ln., Kharkiv, 61166, Ukraine)
Email: [email protected]
Holtiaieva Liudmyla A. – Candidate of Sciences (Economics), Associate Professor, Junior Researcher, Sector of Macroeconomic Analysis and Forecasting of the Department of Macroeconomic Policy and Regional Development, Research Centre for Industrial Problems of Development of NAS of Ukraine (2 floor 1-a Inzhenernyi Ln., Kharkiv, 61166, Ukraine)
Email: [email protected]

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