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Fuzzy logic as a Risk-Controlling Instrument in the Context of the Proactive Management of the Oil and Gas Producing Enterprises
Fadeyeva I. H., Gryniuk O. I.

Fadeyeva, Iryna H., and Gryniuk, Oksana I. (2019) “Fuzzy logic as a Risk-Controlling Instrument in the Context of the Proactive Management of the Oil and Gas Producing Enterprises.” Business Inform 4:212–220.
https://doi.org/10.32983/2222-4459-2019-4-212-220

Section: Economic and Mathematical Modeling

UDC 330.131.7:622.32

Abstract:
The article is aimed at finding ways to increase the efficiency of the oil and gas production enterprises (OGPE) in conditions of uncertainty of business environment. The actuality of application of fuzzy logic methods as an instrument of risk controlling within the terms of ensuring the proactive management of the oil and gas producing enterprises is substantiated. The model of the risk-controlling system of the OGPE is improved, which, unlike the existing ones, is supplemented by a cascade fuzzy model of Mamdani type – estimation and prediction of probability of risk occurrence that creates preconditions for the proactive management of enterprise. The model of implementation of risk-controlling system in the system of the proactive management of the ORPE is formed, which is based on the integration of risk-management and risk-controlling systems.

Keywords: risk controlling, proactive management, oil and gas production enterprise, fuzzy logic.

Fig.: 3. Formulae: 7. Bibl.: 10.

Fadeyeva Iryna H. – Doctor of Sciences (Economics), Professor, Head of the Department, Department of Finance, Ivano-Frankivsk National Technical University of Oil and Gas (15 Karpatska Str., Ivano-Frankіvsk, 76019, Ukraine)
Email: [email protected]
Gryniuk Oksana I. – Candidate of Sciences (Economics), Associate Professor, Department of Finance, Ivano-Frankivsk National Technical University of Oil and Gas (15 Karpatska Str., Ivano-Frankіvsk, 76019, Ukraine)
Email: [email protected]

List of references in article

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Antykryzovyi mekhanizm staloho rozvytku pidpryiemstva [Anticrisis mechanism of sustainable development of the enterprise]. Kharkiv, 2012.
Tereshchenko, O. O. “Antykryzove upravlinnia finansamy pidpryiemstv“ [Crisis management of enterprise finance]: avtoref. dys. ... d-ra ekon. nauk, 2005.
Gordina, V. V. “Nekotoryye aspekty formirovaniya sistemy risk-kontrollinga na predpriyatii“ [Some aspects of the formation of a risk-controlling system in an enterprise]. Finansy i kredit, no. 28 (2012): 30-36.
Romanov, S. N. “Formirovaniye mekhanizma risk-kontrollinga investitsionnykh proektov“ [Formation of the mechanism of risk-controlling investment projects]: avtoref. dis. … kand. ekon. nauk, 2011.
Klebanova, T. S., and Kovalenko, K. S. “Modeli otsinky kryzovosti koksokhimichnykh pidpryiemstv na osnovi preventyvnoho pidkhodu“ [Models of crisis assessment of coke plants on the basis of a preventive approach]. Neiro-nechitki tekhnolohii modeliuvannia v ekonomitsi, no. 4 (2015): 80-112.
Fadyeyeva, I. G., and Gryniuk, O. I. “Fuzzy modelling in risk assessment of oil and gas production enterprises' activity“. Baltic Journal of Economic Studies, vol. 3, no. 4 (2017): 256-264.
Rishchuk, L. I. “Upravlinnia ryzykamy hospodarskoi diialnosti na naftopererobnykh pidpryiemstvakh“ [Management of business risks at oil refineries]: avtoref. dys. … kand. ekon. nauk : 08.00.04, 2010.
Diederichs, M. Risikomanagement und risikocontrolling. Munchen, 2017.

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