BUSINESS INFORM №10-2016

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Section: Economic and Mathematical Modeling
UDC 334.012.64
Lapshyn V. I.
Forecasting the Development of Entrepreneurial Activities in Ukraine (p. 150 - 154)
The article is concerned with economic-mathematical modeling the linear and non-linear dynamics of a number of enterprises of various sizes in Ukraine, studying the possibilities for effective use of extrapolation method for the short-term forecasting the dynamics of economic processes. The linear dynamic model is based on differential equation of first order in time with the right part, which is the product of the number of enterprises and function of time. On its basis, a forecasting the dynamics of small, medium and large enterprises in Ukraine in the first three months of 2016 has been carried out. The non-linear model displays the competition of medium and large with small enterprises in Ukraine. The results of the study based on the linear model are necessary to increase the statistics of comparing and determining the accordance of the received forecast data with the actual data in order to substantiate the short-term forecasting dynamics of economic processes. The non-linear model identified resistance of the system of enterprises interaction in conditions of competition, i.e. the poor state of the economy will remain unchanged without innovative actions.
Keywords: enterprise, modeling, dynamics, forecasting, extrapolation, system, competition
Fig.: 3. Formulae: 17. Bibl.: 19.

Lapshyn Volodymyr I. – Doctor of Sciences (Physics and Mathematics), Professor, Professor, Department of Economics and Mathematical Methods and Information Technology, Kharkiv Institute of Finance of the Kyiv National University of Trade and Economics (5 Pletnovskyi Lane, Kharkіv, 61003, Ukraine)
Email: [email protected]

Article is written in Ukrainian
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Reference to this article:
Lapshyn, Volodymyr I. (2016) “Forecasting the Development of Entrepreneurial Activities in Ukraine.” Business Inform 10:150–154.

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