УКР ENG

Search:


Email:  
Password:  

 REGISTRATION CERTIFICATE

KV #19905-9705 PR dated 02.04.2013.

 FOUNDERS

RESEARCH CENTRE FOR INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT PROBLEMS of NAS (KHARKIV, UKRAINE)

According to the decision No. 802 of the National Council of Television and Radio Broadcasting of Ukraine dated 14.03.2024, is registered as a subject in the field of print media.
ID R30-03156

 PUBLISHER

Liburkina L. M.

 SITE SECTIONS

Main page

Editorial staff

Editorial policy

Annotated catalogue (2011)

Annotated catalogue (2012)

Annotated catalogue (2013)

Annotated catalogue (2014)

Annotated catalogue (2015)

Annotated catalogue (2016)

Annotated catalogue (2017)

Annotated catalogue (2018)

Annotated catalogue (2019)

Annotated catalogue (2020)

Annotated catalogue (2021)

Annotated catalogue (2022)

Annotated catalogue (2023)

Annotated catalogue (2024)

Thematic sections of the journal

Proceedings of scientific conferences


The Technology for Developing Scenarios for Strengthening Socioeconomic Security of City
Romanovska Y. A.

Romanovska, Yuliia A. (2022) “The Technology for Developing Scenarios for Strengthening Socioeconomic Security of City.” Business Inform 11:88–100.
https://doi.org/10.32983/2222-4459-2022-11-88-100

Section: Mechanisms of Regulation of the Economy

Article is written in Ukrainian
Downloads/views: 0

Download article (pdf) -

UDC 167.7:001.8:308:338.2

Abstract:
In strengthening the socioeconomic security of the city, it is advisable to use a scenario approach, the organizational tool of which is scenario. Scenario represents a substantiation of an own approach to the possible directions of development of the object, and on the other hand, the proposal of organizational approaches to reformatting expectations for the real future. Making the most efficient decisions for the future ensures the use of scenario development technology. Actions, procedures and operations of the technology of developing a scenario for strengthening the socioeconomic security of the city should be carried out in a given sequence. To develop a scenario for strengthening the socioeconomic security of the city, it is crucial to form a system of initial provisions, the purpose of which is to obtain a holistic view of the possibilities of city authorities in securing the city, depriving the process of developing a purely formal scenario and, accordingly, increasing its effectiveness. The high level of uncertainty, different conditions for developing a scenario for strengthening the socioeconomic security of the city necessitate a certain set of scenarios (alternative scenarios), the totality of which should reflect the readiness of the city authorities for any development of events in the external and internal environment of the socioeconomic system of «city». The development of scenarios for strengthening the socioeconomic security of the city should proceed from a clear idea of the content and special features of the functioning of the socioeconomic system of «city»; to be carried out in compliance with the principles provided, taking into account the limitations of the used scenario approach, the identified threats to the socioeconomic system of «city», their nature and stage of development and the close relationship between ensuring the socioeconomic security of the city and the balance of the interests of elements of the system which are different both in nature and in the ways of their manifestation.

Keywords: city, socioeconomic security, strengthening, scenario, technology, development.

Fig.: 1. Tabl.: 7. Bibl.: 23.

Romanovska Yuliia A. – Candidate of Sciences (Economics), Associate Professor, Associate Professor, Department of Finance, Vinnytsia Trade and Economic Institute of the State Trade and Economic University (87 Soborna Str., Vinnytsia, 21050, Ukraine)
Email: [email protected]

List of references in article

Bondarevska, O. M. “Ekonomichna bezpeka rehioniv u systemi ekonomichnoi bezpeky derzhavy“ [Regional Economic Security in the System of Economic Security]. Naukovyi visnyk Mizhnarodnoho humanitarnoho universytetu. Seriia «Ekonomika i menedzhment». 2017. http://www.vestnik-econom.mgu.od.ua/journal/2017/24-2-2017/14.pdf
Lunova, T. S. “Sotsialno-ekonomichna bezpeka rehionu: metodychni pidkhody do otsiniuvannia ta zabezpechennia“ [Socio-Economic Security of the Region: Methodological Approaches to Evaluation and Achievement]. Naukovyi visnyk Natsionalnoi akademii statystyky, obliku ta audytu, no. 1-2 (2022): 47-54. DOI: 10.31767/nasoa.1-2-2022.06
Burbelo, O. A., Patriarkh, T. V., and Burbelo, S. O. “Ekonomichna bezpeka rehionu v systemi yoho sotsialno-ekonomichnoho rozvytku“ [Economic Security of the Region in the System of its Socio-Economic Development]. Visnyk Luhanskoho derzhavnoho universytetu vnutrishnikh sprav imeni E. O. Didorenka, no. 1 (2020): 135-148. DOI: https://doi.org/10.33766/2524-0323.89.135-148
Povzun, D. I. “Ekonomichna bezpeka rehionu yak skladova natsionalnoi bezpeky Ukrainy“ [Economic Security of the Region as a Component of National Security of Ukraine]. Ekonomika ta derzhava, no. 8 (2020): 89-94. DOI: 10.32702/2306-6806.2020.8.89
Harkava, V., and Klishchevska, A. “Formuvannia i realizatsiia kontseptsii ekonomichnoi bezpeky v upravlinni ekonomikoiu rehionu“ [Formation and Implementation of the Concept of Economic Security in the Management of the Region's Economy]. Ekonomichnyi analiz, vol. 31, no. 2 (2021): 14-24. DOI: https://doi.org/10.35774/econa2021.02.014
Wack, P. “Scenarios: Uncharted Waters Ahead“. Harvard Business Review. 1985. https://hbr.org/1985/09/scenarios-uncharted-waters-ahead
Wack, P. “Scenarios: Shooting the Rapids“. Harvard Business Review. 1985. https://hbr.org/1985/11/scenarios-shooting-the-rapids
Schwartz, P. Inevitable Surprises: Thinking Ahead in a Time of Turbulence. Avery, 2004.
“Metody stsenarnoho prohnozuvannia“ [Scenario Forecasting Methods]. https://buklib.net/books/24508/
Krutova, A. S., and Staverska, T. O. “Stsenarnyi pidkhid do prohnozuvannia i planuvannia prybutku pidpryiemstv“ [Screenwriting Approach to Prognostication and Planning of Income of the Enterprises]. Ekonomichna stratehiia i perspektyvy rozvytku sfery torhivli ta posluh. 2014. http://elib.hduht.edu.ua/bitstream/123456789/766/1/5.pdf
Staverska, T. O. “Metodychnyi pidkhid do finansovoho planuvannia na osnovi stsenariiv“ [Methodical Approach to Financial Planning Based on Scenarios]. Finansovo-bankivski mekhanizmy derzhavnoho upravlinnia ekonomikoiu Ukrainy. Seriia «Ekonomika», vol. 11, no. 176 (2010): 306-315.
Saaty, Th. L. “Fundamentals of Decision Making: the Analytic Hierarchy Process“. In: The Analytic Hierarchy Process in Natural Resource and Environmental Decision Making. Managing Forest Ecosystems, ch. 2, vol. 3 (2006): 15-35. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-015-9799-9_2
Saaty, T. L. Multicriteria Decision Making: The Analytic Hierarchy Process: Planning, Priority Setting, Resource Allocation. Pittsburgh (PA): RWS, 1990.
Synenko, M. A. “Metod Saati pry pryiniatti upravlinskykh rishen na prykladi pidpryiemstva maloho biznesu“ [Saaty's Method Decision-Making on the Example of a Small Business Enterprise]. Intelekt XXI. 2018. http://www.intellect21.nuft.org.ua/journal/2018/2018_1/51.pdf
Bidiuk, P. I., and Zahirska, I. O. “Metodyka pobudovy stsenarnoho analizu iz vykorystanniam baiiesivskykh metodiv“ [Method of Scenario Analysis Construction Using Bayesian Methods]. Elektrotekhnichni ta kompiuterni systemy, no. 08 (2012): 137-142.
Shandova, N. V. “Stsenarnyi pidkhid do vyznachennia napriamkiv rozvytku pidpryiemstva“ [Scenario Approach to Determining Directions of Enterprise Development]. Visnyk ZhDTU: Ekonomika, upravlinnia ta administruvannia, no. 1 (2017): 165-169. DOI: https://doi.org/10.26642/jen-2017-1(79)-165-169
Kyzym, M. O., and Heiman, O. A. “Stsenarne modeliuvannia rozvytku sotsialno-ekonomichnykh system: napriamky, osoblyvosti ta mekhanizmy“ [Scenario Modeling of Development of the Socio-Economic Systems: Trends, Features and Mechanisms]. Rehionalna ekonomika, no. 4 (2009): 16-23.
Schoemaker, P. J. H. Using Scenarios in Strategic Planning. R&D Meets M&A, ch. 12. Philadelphia: Chemical Heritage Press, 2004.
Mercer, D. “Scenarios made easy“. Long Range Planning, vol. 28, no. 4 (1995): 81-86.
Millett, S. “Should Probabilities Be Used with Scenarios?“ Journal of Futures Studies. 2009. https://jfsdigital.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/01/134-AE04.pdf
Gordon, Th. J. “Cross-impact method“. AC/UNU Millenium Project. 1994. http://discoveryoursolutions.com/download_center/CROSSIMPACT.pdf
Gordon, Th. J. “The Delphi Method“. AC/UNU Millennium Project, 1994. https://eumed-agpol.iamm.fr/private/priv_docum/wp5_files/5-delphi.pdf
Turoff, M. “An Alternative Approach to Cross Impact Analysis“. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, vol. 3 (1972): 309-339. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0040-1625(71)80021-5

 FOR AUTHORS

License Contract

Conditions of Publication

Article Requirements

Regulations on Peer-Reviewing

Publication Contract

Current Issue

Frequently asked questions

 INFORMATION

The Plan of Scientific Conferences


 OUR PARTNERS


Journal «The Problems of Economy»

  © Business Inform, 1992 - 2024 The site and its metadata are licensed under CC BY-SA. Write to webmaster