BUSINESS INFORM №1-2014

The title and content

ABSTRACTS AND INFORMATION ABOUT AUTHORS

17

Section: Economic and Mathematical Modeling
UDC 330.341.1:338.49
Zhuk M. O., Zdrok V. V.
Modelling Dynamics of Main Indicators of Economic Activity of Households of Ukraine (p. 82 - 91)
The goal of the article is the study of the structure of the system of economic activity of households in Ukraine and dynamics of interconnections between the main indicators of its functioning. In order to study dynamics of main indicators of the system of economic activity of households, the article uses tools of econometric vector-autoregression modelling (VAR models). Based on the existing statistical data and a developed VAR model, the article studies individual and aggregate influence of lag values of indicators upon their current values, system reaction on main indicators impulses, analyses dynamics of change of explanation of dispersion of some indicators with others, and conducts two types of forecasts that reflect a general tendency of development of economic activity of households in Ukraine. High accuracy of forecasts obtained with the help of the proposed econometric model testifies to a possibility of its practical application for assessment of the state of main indicators of economic activity of households of Ukraine. The article applies for the first time the tools of VAR modelling for the study of economic activity of households in Ukraine, which expands possibilities of use of mathematical and statistical methods and models in this field of economy.
Keywords: household, consumer expenditures of households, internal gross savings, loans to the private sector, econometric modelling
Fig.: 11. Tabl.: 7. Formulae: 7. Bibl.: 10.

Zhuk Mykola O. – Postgraduate Student, Department of Economic Cybernetics, Ivan Franko National University of Lviv (1 Unіversytetska Str., Lvіv, 79001, Ukraine)
Email: [email protected]
Zdrok Valentin V. – Candidate of Sciences (Engineering), Associate Professor, Professor, Department of Economic Cybernetics, Ivan Franko National University of Lviv (1 Unіversytetska Str., Lvіv, 79001, Ukraine)
Email: [email protected]

Article is written in Ukrainian
Downloads/views: 163

Download article (pdf) -

Reference to this article:
Zhuk, Mykola O., and Zdrok, Valentin V. (2014) “Modelling Dynamics of Main Indicators of Economic Activity of Households of Ukraine.” Business Inform 1:82–91.

1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 44 | 45 | 46 | 47 | 48 | 49 | 50 | 51 | 52 | 53 | 54 | 55 | 56 | 57 | 58 | 59 | 60 | 61 | 62 | 63 | 64 |

FOR AUTHORS

License Contract

Conditions of Publication

Article Requirements

Regulations on Peer-Reviewing

Publication Contract

Current Issue

Frequently asked questions

INFORMATION

The Plan of Scientific Conferences

OUR PARTNERS

Journal «The Problems of Economy»

The site and its metadata are licensed under CC BY-SA.

Write to webmaster