BUSINESS INFORM №9-2014

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Section: Economic and Mathematical Modeling
UDC 338.27
Kovalenko K. S.
Analysis of the Influence of Environmental Factors on the Formation of Crisis in the Coke-chemical Industry (p. 131 - 140)
The purpose of this paper is to assess and analyze the impact of environmental factors on the formation of crisis in the coke-chemical industry of Ukraine. An algorithm for assessing the impact of external factors on the coke-chemical industry of Ukraine was developed. On the basis of the developed algorithm the main factors of the external environment were highlighted and analyzed, also the model of dependence of the volume of production of coke in Ukraine from the marked external factors was created, which made it possible to emphasize the dominant external factors and rank them in order of important influence on the coke industry. Analysis of the quality of the constructed model showed that the model is adequate and can be used to analyze the impact of external factors on the activities of coke enterprises of Ukraine. On the basis of the created model by Monte-Carlo method, a series of simulation modeling experiments were conducted, which revealed that the deterioration in the functioning of coke enterprises due to the external factors is unlikely and the cause of the crisis lies in the internal environment of the enterprises.
Keywords: coke industry, the external environment, factor, threats, regression analysis, simulation modeling, Monte-Carlo, the script
Fig.: 1. Tabl.: 9. Formulae: 4. Bibl.: 29.

Kovalenko Kateryna S. – Lecturer, Department of Economic Cybernetics, Simon Kuznets Kharkiv National University of Economics (9a Nauky Ave., Kharkiv, 61166, Ukraine)
Email: [email protected]

Article is written in Russian
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Reference to this article:
Kovalenko, Kateryna S. (2014) “Analysis of the Influence of Environmental Factors on the Formation of Crisis in the Coke-chemical Industry.” Business Inform 9:131–140.

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